Jack Duval on LinkedIn: Wall Street Bond Traders Hate this One Simple Trick (2024)

Will the Fed start cutting rates? When? How much?The truth is... nobody knows. Predictions are fleeting, and constantly changing. Just look at the Fed's dot plot. In September, ten FOMC members expected the fed funds rate to be above 5% by the end of 2024. Just three months later... only three still felt that way.So how does one navigate a bond market of defined by "unknowns"? Read our take here: https://lnkd.in/dd85gfSx#bonds #fixedincome #investing

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Plot twist in the markets? 📈📉According to a recent chart from Alpine Macro and Chen Zhao, the market's response to Fed policy has done a complete 180. In the past, bond yields would sell off with any mention of Fed hawkishness. But since October 2022, we've seen the opposite: long bond yields have actually fallen on rate hikes and hawkish Fed talks. And it doesn't stop there – even 2-year Treasury yields have become negatively correlated with the Fed funds rate since March, indicating that further tightening could be viewed as a policy mistake by investors. 🤯As always, the market never fails to keep us on our toes. Keep an eye on these new trends and stay ahead of the game. Who knows what the market will surprise us with next? 🤔 Debt ceiling just round the corner and the debate is on about what rates do around that #FedPolicy #MarketTrends #PlotTwist #jeromepowell #inflation Graphite Asset Advisory

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Markets seem relatively calm ahead of the US CPI at 1330 GMT today. Will the release support the markets view that the Fed will start cutting rates in 2024, or could a higher than expected core reading support the Fed's more hawkish outlook? Below is a chart from Corellian's award winning TA mentor, Richard Adco*ck, highlighting the levels to watch for the US 500 future. Click here to find out more https://lnkd.in/ehzqaXJi#TheCorellianAcademy #LearnToTrade #Equities #Futures #FX #GlobalMarkets #InterestRates #Inflation

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📣 Attention Traders! 📣Mark your calendars and set your alarms! The highly anticipated U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) release is just around the corner, and it's a key indicator of inflation. 📈Why is this important? Because the PCE data plays a crucial role in shaping the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions. And you know what that means – potential market movements and trading opportunities! 💰At Headline.net, we understand the significance of staying ahead of the game. As the most transparent CFD trading platform, we want to remind you to keep a close eye on the PCE release and its impact on the markets. 🌍Stay informed, make informed decisions, and seize those trading opportunities! 📊✨Remember, at Headline.net, we're here to provide you with the latest financial news, powerful trading tools, and an exceptional trading experience. Join us via https://bit.ly/487clcT today and take your trading journey to new heights! 🚀#Headline #Trading #PCErelease #Inflation #FedInterestRate #Transparency #CFDTrading #MarketOpportunities

Bondsclimbed as disappointingfactory dataand a decline inconsumer sentimentsolidified bets on interest-rate cuts, with traders also sifting through the latest remarks from a slew ofFederal Reservespeakers. A renewed rally intechliftedstocks. UStwo-year yieldsextended their slide after Federal Reserve GovernorChristopher Wallersaid he would like the central bank to boost its share of short-term Treasuries. Also speaking Friday, Fed Bank of Atlanta PresidentRaphael Bosticsaid he doesn’t want to have to raise interest rates again.#bonds #stocks #inflation #markets #interestrates2024

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Despite a retreat in inflation, bond investors need to remain vigilant as all eight indices we track remain below par value. A series of Fed rate hikes have pushed bond prices down, and if the trend continues, further price pressures are likely. Learn more about the intricate relationship between bond prices, interest rates, and the Fed's policies in our latest blog post. #FirstTrust #MarketObservations #BondMarket #FedPolicy 🔗https://lnkd.in/gUmG3PGU

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The FED is done!The bond market is telling the Fed it's done with rate hikes. There's just a 15% chance of a September rate hike being priced into fed funds futures, and a 21% chance of one in November. The Fed is now expected to start cutting rates in early 2024, according to market pricing.Credit to: @lisaabramowicz1#inflation #zinsen #aktien #assetmanagement #vermögensaufbau #vermögensverwaltung #portfoliomanagement #fonds #kapitalanlage #kapital #sustainable

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Markets began the week cautiously, digesting Powell's recent testimony to lawmakers, they were right to do so after the February reading showed a 0.4%m/m increase for US CPI - highlighting ongoing inflation worries despite (moderating) economic strength. Equities dipped to close the week after a brief recovery to pre-Powell levels, global yields and the greenback climbed, with the US 10-year yield nearing 4.20% and the 2-year yield rising 40bps to 4.70%. Heavy central bank calendar for the week ahead will be the Fed and any update to its DOTS plot that will drive dollar sentiment after stalling its decline. Have a good weekend.#dollarindex #fx

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Bond investors have questions: Is inflation really tamed? Are more rate hikes ahead, or is a looming recession apt to reverse monetary policy again? Learn more about the fixed income markets and read our latest blog post: The Fed Hits the Gas Againhttps://bit.ly/45GBUQt#bonds #rates #fixedincome

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